The parable of the European protection trade (5/5)


In opposition to the backdrop of geostrategic tensions and the warfare in Ukraine, President Macron introduced at Eurosatory that we’re “getting into a warfare financial system.” However the place does the French and European protection trade stand? Right here is an outline in 5 episodes.

The European protection trade faces the longer term (5/5)

By Procopius of Caesarea*

The way forward for the navy protection trade is dictated by the US-China competitors (together with in all non-military fields). This competitors, on the technological stage, is led, in the meanwhile, by the USA and China is making a relentless and decided effort to ‘observe’ with the peace of mind of its final industrial superiority. We live by way of an industrial revolution (referred to as the 5ᵉ era) from which Europe will not be solely absent, however excluded. This revolution is predicated on a dozen technological sectors, referred to as ‘mom applied sciences’. It will take a ebook to element and show this assertion, however it’s a truth.

Who will dominate the area, will dominate the Earth

We merely level out the area truth, as a result of it’s vital by way of world energy: whoever dominates area will dominate the earth. The navy curiosity has at all times been recognized within the so-called ‘excessive level’, however it’s only from area that we will management our on-line world.
Instance: inside 3 years now, we should always see the StarShip of SpaceX operational. This machine, usable as an airplane, will enable to construct economically orbital factories of a number of tens of hundreds of tons. These factories will profit from 2 qualities that can’t be discovered on our earth: weightlessness and vacuum. These two qualities enable entry to industrial manufacturing of latest supplies (referred to as meta-materials) with distinctive performances and consequently to fabricate objects with performances inaccessible to terrestrial manufacturing. Industrially talking, there shall be those that have entry to those supplies and people who won’t have entry to them… and who will solely be capable to manufacture objects of a medieval sort. To be very clear: an airplane engine made with these supplies can have performances inaccessible to those that won’t have entry to them. And to reassure Macron, there shall be no query of speaking about ‘public good’.
If in 2025, the StarShip, which represents a colossal work for humanity, is operational, inside 10 years (2035) the economic stage of France shall be sometimes lowered to that of an African nation. That’s all there may be to it. The technological hole can’t be closed.

Anti-French feeling

On this matter that’s area, I can guarantee (as a result of I take part very modestly) that Northern Europe (Germany included) has properly understood the stake and has additionally properly understood {that a} area Europe underneath French affect would result in an ineluctable break. The two European firms which shall be concerned within the launch of small payloads, have taken SpaceX as a mannequin, and have a motto: no European cooperation (and this requires braveness, as a result of it means: no European credit) as a result of, with the French within the loop (ArianeSpace or Airbus), it isn’t even price hoping for.

Macron can no extra think about the ‘anti-French’ feeling that arises in Northern Europe (in this type of trade), than he may think about yesterday the sensation of rejection in the direction of him of a majority of French individuals (truth verified, as standard, to the good displeasure of the BFM forecasters who assured us of an absolute majority – Mr. Ségala within the lead on Friday, June 17).
The long run belongs to know-how. We can not make actual innovation with the “thirty-five happiness” expensive to France. Elon Musk says it and he’s certified to say it: he isn’t an enarque, however an engineer, and he has already produced extra actual improvements than the entire of France has been capable of do for greater than thirty years.
Making a rocket, like every other innovation, is (in accordance with Elon) ‘1% inspiration, and 99% perspiration’. Anybody can have the one p.c of inspiration, however the remaining is out of attain of the Europe of Brussels and even much less of France. Finish of the talk.

Conclusion: there may be no sovereign European protection trade

Notice: I solely want a couple of minutes to destroy contradictory ‘opinions’ that I don’t care about, as a result of my college of thought admits just one choose: Historical past, and it has not been unfavorable to us for 30 years now… We may write a ebook on the historical past of Atos (with Bull as its ancestor), this flagship whose outcomes have at all times been nothing however… nothing in any respect… and we will nonetheless discover Macronists singing about its future efficiency in quantum computing, supercomputers, and so forth., all of that are proclaimed with out the slightest proof. What is certain is that the President of this firm assured me (in 2005) of the development of an ‘exaflop’ supercomputer, thus world champion (France was going to be the world chief) and by far (when he was speaking) and it ended with a ’23 petaflop supercomputer lately put into service, that’s to say, lower than 3% of the anticipated efficiency… the exaflop does exist: it’s in service within the USA.
Within the important subject of supercomputing, France is now not even listed within the prime 100, which strikes daily (4 new installations per 30 days in China…). Actuality.
However Macron has the ‘subsequent transfer’ with quantum: the present evaluation of ‘quantum’ firms (it’s ‘heavy’ to listen to them) exhibits one factor for positive: we don’t see something tangible (by the way in which, I made one of many main firms – situated in Saclay – spill the beans about quantum dots… impeccable on the theoretical stage, however whose sensible realization depends upon an isotopic purity of carbon that isn’t accessible on earth and hop, we will sleep straightforward… I suggested the founder to go and see Elon Musk and he answered: in fact! However…)

Different be aware: June 18, 2022, Intel investments in Europe :

Germany Magdeburg “superior semiconductor manufacturing mega-site” for €17 billion – by 2027. Intel will obtain €6.8 billion in funding from the European Chip Act (funding quantity confirmed within the federal price range assertion).
Intel: Eire: €17 billion funding in Eire prolonged to €30 billion.
Intel: smaller investments for France, Italy, Poland and Spain.
In France, an R&D heart on the Saclay plateau
Europe: settlement with Intel for Intel 4 processing know-how.
Presently, EU semiconductor manufacturing represents about 9% of the world complete. The EU Chips Act is predicated on the US Chips Act subsidy scheme ($52 billion). It serves the identical goal, specifically to localize necessary high-tech inputs and safe vital provide chains.
Conclusion: we’re witnessing an actual American colonization of Europe on this subject. And it’s not badly financed by Brussels. And we’re solely speaking about Intel (in the meanwhile, the opposite three main gamers have declined the European gives).
Evaluation: Intel is avoiding France by way of industrial location, regardless of gives that Macron thought couldn’t be refused… The comfort prize is an R&D heart in Saclay the place Intel will be capable to quietly plunder the pool of engineers on the plateau (it would solely get the most effective in fact). Intel doesn’t dream of a future with a location on this great place described by Macron as ‘California with out the ocean’.

NATO Pipelines

The NATO Pipeline System (NPS) was established in the course of the Chilly Battle to produce Alliance forces with gas, and it continues to fulfill gas necessities with the flexibleness required in at the moment’s safety atmosphere.

The NPS consists of ten separate petroleum storage and distribution networks.

  • It’s roughly 10,000 km lengthy, traversing twelve NATO nations and providing 4.1 million cubic meters of storage capability.
  • The NPS connects storage depots, navy airbases, civilian airports, pumping stations, rail and street loading stations, refineries and entry/draw-off factors.
  • Bulk distribution makes use of services built-in with the collectively funded NATO Safety Funding Program (NSIP).
  • The networks are underneath the management of nationwide companies, excluding the Central European Pipeline System (CEPS), which is a multinational system managed by the CEPS Program Workplace, which is a part of the NATO Assist and Acquisition Company (NSA).

*Procopius of Caesarea (6ᵉ century A.D. is a Byzantine rhetorician and historian whose work is dedicated to the reign of the emperor Justinian). That is in fact a pseudonym. The certainly one of an individual very properly knowledgeable in regards to the technological, political and geostrategic problems with our time.



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