Blue Jays vs. Athletics prop picks: Alejandro Kirk nonetheless provides worth to attain

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After a bitter finish to their house stand, the Toronto Blue Jays hit the street on Independence Day to face the Oakland Athletics.

The pregame narrative: The A’s are coming off a tough street journey, with losses in six of their previous seven video games. Each starters on this recreation — Alek Manoah and Cole Irvin — have confronted these respective lineups twice, with blended outcomes.

Listed here are our Blue Jays vs. Athletics prop picks for July 4.

Rays vs. Blue Jays prop picks overview

  • Alejandro Kirk over 0.5 runs (+120)
  • Tony Kemp over 0.5 runs (+175)
  • Teoscar Hernandez over 1.5 bases (+102)

Rays vs. Blue Jays prop picks

Greatest guess: Kirk over 0.5 runs (+120)

Hopefully nobody is uninterested in studying about Kirk-related prop picks but. It’s simply actually troublesome to steer clear of this man proper now.

Learn extra: Blue Jays vs. Athletics picks

When MLB.com offered its final replace relating to the all-star vote, Kirk had earned the third-most entries amongst AL ballplayers. He was greater than 1,000,000 votes away from any AL catcher.

His impending all-star standing has coincided with ample profitability on the prop market, particularly on his runs prop. Kirk has crossed the plate 14 occasions in his previous 13 begins, clearing the 0.5-run mark in 9 of these video games (69.2%).

Batting straight forward of Teoscar Hernandez — the proprietor of a .919 OPS since June 1 — has its perks. And actually, the Blue Jays’ right-handed-heavy lineup options loads of RBI candidates in tonight’s matchup towards A’s lefty Cole Irvin.

Cole Irvin is 0-4 with a 4.80 ERA in his past four outings. Photo by Reed Hoffmann/AP.

In his previous 4 begins (all losses), Irvin has allowed 14 runs throughout 24.1 innings. It’s usually not straightforward to foretell specific run-scorers, however Kirk has nearly as good of an opportunity as anybody with the way in which he’s swinging the bat.

This line’s implied chance (45.45%) feels low in comparison with Kirk’s manufacturing over the previous a number of weeks, not to mention since mid-June. We’ll fortunately return to the nicely on a prop that has cashed with regularity.

Key stat: To go together with 14 runs in his previous 13 begins, Kirk additionally has a .319/.448/.681 slash line in that span.

Fast picks

Kemp over 0.5 runs (+170): Manoah shouldn’t be recognized for giving up runs in bunches, however Kemp has worth right here because the A’s leadoff man. He has scored in every of his previous three begins regardless of a chronic stoop since June 1 (.167 BA).

The left-handed Kemp has fared a bit higher towards righties in his profession (.705 OPS vs. RHPs, .631 OPS vs. LHPs), and he’s 3-for-5 with a homer towards Manoah.

Hernandez over 1.5 bases (+102): We’ve our choose of righty sluggers to again towards Irvin, and Hernandez at barely plus cash is the place we’ve landed. Hernandez is a killer towards southpaws:

Hernandez profession stats BA OBP SLG
vs. LHPs .273 .335 .561
vs. RHPs .255 .313 .470

We received’t be deterred by Hernandez’s 4 hitless at-bats in his profession towards Irvin. The platoon splits inform a extra descriptive story.

Odds as of 10:57 a.m. ET on 07/04/22.

JH

Jordan Horrobin writes about sports activities betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which additionally owns Torstar, the Star’s father or mother firm. Observe him on Twitter: @JordanHorrobin

Disclaimer This content material was produced as a part of a partnership and subsequently it could not meet the requirements of neutral or impartial journalism.



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