The second spherical of the legislative elections is moderately in step with the outcomes of the presidential election, marked by the misleading victory of Emmanuel Macron and by a recomposition of political forces. Difficulties forward for the President of the Republic.
Emmanuel Macron misplaced absolutely the majority within the Nationwide Meeting and a number of other of his shut associates are eradicated. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s Nupes turns into the main opposition political pressure, however falls in need of a majority of seats. Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement nationwide makes a historic breakthrough and obtains extra seats than Les Républicains. These are the three classes of the primary outcomes of the second spherical of the legislative elections and the projections in variety of seats within the Meeting.
Political recomposition
A primary evaluation from the polls provides the events of the presidential majority between 210 and 250 seats (they want 289 to have an absolute majority, that they had 360 in 2017). The left-wing coalition Nupes ought to get between 150 and 180 seats, the Nationwide Rally between 90 and 100 seats (it had solely 8 deputies in 2017). The Republicans, who carried out poorly within the presidential election, will solely get about 60 seats.
Which means that President Macron must cope with a powerful opposition, as the 2 excessive events are solidly put in within the Palais Bourbon, they are going to lead a fierce struggle to the presidential tasks, on retirement, for instance or social coverage.
Notice additionally that personalities near the president, equivalent to Jean Castaner or Richard Ferrand, till now president of the Meeting, are eradicated.
Of the 15 ministers who have been operating, at the least three must depart their posts: Jutine Benin, Secretary of State for the Sea, Amélie de Montchalin, Minister for Ecological Transition and Brigitte Bourguignon, Minister of Well being.
Others have been elected or re-elected. That is the case of the Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne, Gérald Darmanin, Minister of the Inside, Damien Abad, Minister of Solidarity and Olivier Véran, Minister in command of relations with Parliament.
Troublesome days
The outcomes of the second spherical of the legislative elections are subsequently very harsh for Emmanuel Macron, who was re-elected on April 25, 2022, with 58% of the votes forged, however solely 36% of the citizens. In actual fact, between 2017 and 2022, President Macron misplaced very precisely 1,974,489 votes! In different phrases, his victory was not as sensible because it was made out to be. And on the similar time, Marine Le Pen went from 10,638,475 votes in 2017 to 13,288,686 votes in 2022, that’s to say greater than 2,650,211 votes in 5 years. Inevitably, these heavy tendencies are discovered within the poll bins of this Sunday, June 19, 2022.
As for the Nupes, born in ache after the bitter failure of the left-wing events within the presidential elections, it has succeeded in turning into the primary opposition get together. However Jean-Luc Mélenchon won’t be Prime Minister as he would have preferred.
These outcomes herald troublesome days for Emmanuel Macron and his authorities. The defeated faces of the ministers invited to the TV units on Sunday night spoke volumes concerning the ambiance in Macronie.
