Quebec election: Poilievre victory seen as good news for Conservative Party of Quebec

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“It says to us that we’re not alone in sharing these values.”

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Pierre Poilievre’s profitable bid to steer the federal Tories bodes properly for the Conservative Social gathering of Quebec, which is working within the provincial election on comparable messages, analysts say.

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Sylvie Trottier mentioned she jumped for pleasure when she discovered that Poilievre on Sept. 10 gained the management race with a powerful 68 per cent on the primary poll.

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Trottier, a Quebec Conservative get together supporter who was at a latest marketing campaign occasion in Montreal with get together chief Eric Duhaime, mentioned Poilievre gained her over when he went to Ottawa final winter to go to the “Freedom Convoy” — the huge protest towards COVID-19 restrictions that blockaded the streets surrounding Parliament Hill.

Poilievre “has quite a lot of concepts which are just like Duhaime,” mentioned Trottier, 66. “He desires to deal with the individuals, and he’s for the liberty of expression and for particular person liberty. … It’ll create a wave for the Conservatives right here.”

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Louise Poudrier, the Quebec Conservative candidate in Montreal’s Hochelaga-Maisonneuve using, mentioned her get together — which has no official ties with the Conservative Social gathering of Canada — shares values with Poilievre like freedom of expression and smaller authorities.

“For people who find themselves a part of the Conservative alliance, the truth that Mr. Poilievre was elected chief of the federal Conservative get together is an efficient signal; it’s encouraging for us,” Poudrier mentioned in an interview. “It says to us that we’re not alone in sharing these values.”

Frédéric Boily, a College of Alberta professor who research Canadian and Quebec politics, mentioned the federal Tory management race is “excellent news for Éric Duhaime within the sense that it bolsters his message, which is similar with that of Pierre Poilievre.”

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Boily mentioned Duhaime and Poilievre benefited from discontent with public well being measures launched throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. And whereas nearly all of these measures have now been lifted, public resentment lingers, he mentioned.

“It creates the situations for a sure form of political message, one which finds the state goes too far, that the state spends an excessive amount of, that the state is indebting itself,” he mentioned in a latest interview, including that inflation has contributed to that resentment towards the federal government.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine has additionally allowed Poilievre and Duhaime to speak about their help for a liquid pure gasoline plant and pipeline in Quebec’s Saguenay area. The day after Poilievre’s win, Duhaime highlighted their shared help for the pure gasoline undertaking, describing Poilievre as a longtime pal who volunteered on his failed 2003 provincial election marketing campaign.

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“Now we have a shared understanding of many points,” Duhaime advised reporters, including that, like lots of his get together’s supporters, he’s additionally a member of the federal Conservative get together.

Poilievre gained nearly all of Canada’s 338 ridings within the management race, together with 72 of Quebec’s 78 ridings.

Frederick Guillaume Dufour, a professor at Université du Québec à Montréal who research political sociology, mentioned Poilievre’s efficiency in Quebec was stunning as a result of the province has not historically supported politicians like Poilievre who’ve a caustic type and libertarian leanings.

“I feel it demonstrates that there’s a marketplace for concepts which are extra populist, extra libertarian in Quebec, and proper now, it’s Éric Duhaime who occupies that political territory,” Dufour mentioned in a latest interview.

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Help for smaller authorities isn’t fully international to the province. The Motion démocratique du Québec — the get together that Duhaime stood for in 2003 — advocated for lowering the function of the state in Quebec society. That get together merged into the Coalition Avenir Québec in 2012.

Since taking workplace 2018, the CAQ has moved to the centre-right, and pandemic-related well being measures launched by the CAQ authorities got here with vital state intervention within the economic system. The CAQ’s transfer to the centre has created house for a extra fiscally conservative get together on the fitting, Dufour mentioned.

As properly, CAQ Chief François Legault sees the state as a device for his nationalist financial insurance policies, Dufour mentioned, including that Duhaime is a supporter of extra free markets.

Regardless of Poilievre’s spectacular success in Quebec throughout his management marketing campaign, Boily and Dufour say it’s not clear that the brand new Conservative chief is well-known amongst Quebecers who aren’t federal Tory get together members.

And with latest polls inserting help for the CAQ above 40 per cent — in comparison with barely under 20 per cent for the provincial Conservatives — Legault’s get together seems to stay the selection of conservative Quebecers, Boily mentioned. “The most important a part of the Quebec proper stays incarnated by the Coalition Avenir Québec.”

Quebecers go to the polls Oct. 3.

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